Belgian Pro League · Sat 7 Nov, 19:45 Logged before kick-off

RAAL La Louviere 0-1 Cercle Brugge

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RAAL La Louviere v Cercle Brugge: too close to call

The model's view

36%

28%

36%

RAAL La Louviere win 36% confidence: coin flip

Model's expected goals: RAAL La Louviere 1.8, Cercle Brugge 1.8.

✗ The pick didn't come off. The model gave the result 36%.

RAAL La Louviere are 16th with 7 points from 10 games. Given who they have played and where, that is 6 points fewer than an average side would have taken. Over their last six they have been a little worse than average.
Cercle Brugge are 17th with 6 points from 10 games, but on performances they rank 8th: better than the table suggests. Given who they have played and where, that is 6 points fewer than an average side would have taken. Over their last six they have been a little worse than average.
Against the 7 sides both have played: RAAL La Louviere took 0 points from 7 games, Cercle Brugge 3 from 7; on performance Cercle Brugge were 1.5 goals a game better.
In their favour: RAAL La Louviere take 1.4 points a game at home.
No significant absences known.

Position 16 · performance rank 16 As it looks

Points per game: 0.70 overall, 1.40 at home, 0.00 away. Points v an average side: −6.4.

Date	Opponent	Score	Perf.
5 Sept	St Truiden (A)	0-4	−1.20
13 Sept	Kortrijk (H)	3-0	+1.80
19 Sept	Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)	0-2	−0.78
10 Oct	Club Brugge (H)	1-4	−2.60
24 Oct	Waregem (H)	3-0	+0.49
1 Nov	Charleroi (A)	2-5	−0.69

Perf.: how much better (+, green) or worse (−, orange) than an average side in the same fixture, in goals. Darker means a bigger gap.

Position 17 · performance rank 8 Better than it looks

Points per game: 0.60 overall, 0.80 at home, 0.40 away. Points v an average side: −6.3.

Date	Opponent	Score	Perf.
6 Sept	Gent (H)	0-3	−0.83
12 Sept	Oud-Heverlee Leuven (A)	1-1	+0.28
19 Sept	Charleroi (A)	2-3	+0.62
10 Oct	Anderlecht (H)	1-2	−0.37
25 Oct	St. Gilloise (A)	2-5	+0.97
1 Nov	Antwerp (H)	2-1	−2.13

Perf.: how much better (+, green) or worse (−, orange) than an average side in the same fixture, in goals. Darker means a bigger gap.

Both sides' results against teams they have both played this season, with our performance number for each game.

RAAL La Louviere: 0 pts from 7, performance −1.12. Cercle Brugge: 3 pts from 7, performance +0.37.

RAAL La Louviere: Usual strength. (projected from injuries and suspensions)

Cercle Brugge: Usual strength. (projected from injuries and suspensions)