Belgian Pro League · Sun 8 Nov, 15:00 Logged before kick-off

Gent 1-0 Kortrijk

My shortlist

Gent the pick at home to Kortrijk

The model's view

72%

17%

11%

Gent win 72% confidence: high ShortlistLine-ups: stays

Early prediction: 72% / 17% / 11%; line-ups didn't change it.

✓ The pick came off. The model gave the result 72%.

Gent are 4th with 25 points from 10 games. Given who they have played and where, that is 12 points more than an average side would have taken. Over their last six they have been a little better than average.
Kortrijk are 18th with 4 points from 10 games. Given who they have played and where, that is 10 points fewer than an average side would have taken. Over their last six they have been well below average.
Against the 7 sides both have played: Gent took 19 points from 7 games, Kortrijk 1 from 7; on performance Gent were 1.6 goals a game better.
In their favour: Gent take 3.0 points a game at home.
Both sides at their usual strength.

Position 4 · performance rank 6 As it looks

Points per game: 2.50 overall, 3.00 at home, 2.00 away. Points v an average side: +11.6.

Date	Opponent	Score	Perf.
6 Sept	Cercle Brugge (A)	3-0	+0.91
13 Sept	Genk (A)	1-1	+0.63
18 Sept	Standard (H)	2-1	−0.03
10 Oct	Waregem (A)	2-0	+1.05
25 Oct	Anderlecht (H)	4-0	+0.13
1 Nov	Lommel SK (A)	0-2	+0.18

Perf.: how much better (+, green) or worse (−, orange) than an average side in the same fixture, in goals. Darker means a bigger gap.

Position 18 · performance rank 18 As it looks

Points per game: 0.40 overall, 0.60 at home, 0.20 away. Points v an average side: −10.0.

Date	Opponent	Score	Perf.
6 Sept	Waregem (H)	0-2	−0.67
13 Sept	RAAL La Louviere (A)	0-3	−3.15
20 Sept	Beveren (H)	1-0	+0.44
10 Oct	Genk (A)	0-3	−0.56
31 Oct	Standard (A)	1-1	+0.36
4 Nov	Mechelen (H)	1-3	−1.07

Perf.: how much better (+, green) or worse (−, orange) than an average side in the same fixture, in goals. Darker means a bigger gap.

Both sides' results against teams they have both played this season, with our performance number for each game.

Gent: 19 pts from 7, performance +0.65. Kortrijk: 1 pts from 7, performance −0.95.

Gent: Usual strength. Missing regulars: Christian Burgess, Michel Ange Balikwisha. (confirmed XI)

Kortrijk: Usual strength. Missing regulars: Brecht Dejaegere. (confirmed XI)